After landfall, the flood danger will spread over more of the southeastern United States and potentially into the mid-Atlantic and New England later this week.
The GFS computer model remains a bit farther north of the NHC track, but illustrates the high end possibility for wind gusts between 50 and 70 miles per hour. "Storm surge can occur before, during, or after the center of a storm passes through an area".
This general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days.
Chatham Emergency Management Agency has entered OPCON 4 and is monitoring Tropical Storm Michael.
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Across Florida's panhandle and into southeast and central Georgia, residents are urged to keep an eye on strengthening Tropical Storm Michael.
The storm could strengthen into a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday, the hurricane center said.
Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, who is the Democratic nominee for governor, had planned to campaign in South Florida today and Tuesday, but he said he would return to Tallahassee to help with storm preparations.
At 11 p.m. EDT Sunday, Michael was about 105 miles (165 kilometers) east-southeast of Cozumel, Mexico. With a movement of 3 mph, it's nearly loitering 100 miles east northeast of Chetumal, Mexico, and 240 miles south southwest of Cuba's western tip.
Gardner said the storm could bring tropical storm winds to the Triangle, with gusts of up to 40 miles per hour.
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These rainfall totals in a short period of time may result in flooding across the area.
The depression is moving toward the north near 3 miles per hour.
If Tropical Depression Fourteen becomes a storm, it will be named Michael.
The storm is expected to move northward through early Wednesday, during which time it will strengthen, according to the National Hurricane Center. A tropical storm warning was in effect for the western tip of Cuba, while a tropical storm watch has been called for the resort region of the Yucatan Peninsula from Tulum to Cabo Catoche.
"Our state understands how serious tropical weather is and how devastating any hurricane or tropical storm can be", Scott said.
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"Heavy rainfall, wind and storm surge impacts will be possible across portions of the northern Gulf Coast by midweek", according to the hurricane center.